{"id":6873,"date":"2026-02-11T00:03:31","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T23:03:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.infotekps.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/11\/the-epstein-files-might-bring-down-a-government-just-not-the-us-government\/"},"modified":"2026-02-11T00:03:31","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T23:03:31","slug":"the-epstein-files-might-bring-down-a-government-just-not-the-us-government","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.infotekps.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/11\/the-epstein-files-might-bring-down-a-government-just-not-the-us-government\/","title":{"rendered":"The Epstein files might bring down a government. Just not the US government."},"content":{"rendered":"
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\n

\"Mandelson

\n\tBritish Prime Minister Keir Starmer talks with Britain’s Ambassador to the United States Peter Mandelson during a welcome reception at the ambassador’s residence on February 26, 2025 in Washington, DC. | Carl Court\/AFP via Getty Images\t<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The questions about the exact nature of Donald Trump\u2019s relationship with the late financier and sexual predator Jeffrey Epstein that have dogged his presidency in both<\/a> terms<\/a> were given fresh life last week when the Justice Department released millions of new \u201cEpstein files.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n

But for all that Trump, and any number of other powerful men, would prefer that the ongoing Epstein story go away, its actual political impact <\/em>in the US may end up being limited, relative to the attention the story has gotten. Barring a massive new shoe dropping, Trump will not be forced to resign over Epstein, nor will Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who testified in Congress on Tuesday about having had lunch on Epstein\u2019s island in 2012<\/a> after previously indicating he\u2019d broken off ties years earlier<\/a>. <\/p>\n

It\u2019s not clear whether any other high-ranking political figures or business leaders<\/a> whose names turn up in the files will suffer major consequences either. Other prominent US figures have suffered reputational damage, to be sure, but if the last 30 years of American political life have taught us anything, it\u2019s that Larry Summers will be back<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The same cannot be said of every country, however. The world leader most likely to be brought down by the Epstein files is not Trump, but British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The files contain some extremely damaging information about Peter Mandelson, a longtime power player in Starmer\u2019s Labour Party whom he appointed as ambassador to the United States, despite the fact that Mandelson\u2019s relationship with Epstein was already public knowledge.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The revelations have thrown the British government into turmoil. Two senior Starmer aides \u2014 his chief of staff and his communications director \u2014 have already resigned over their roles in Mandelson\u2019s appointment, and a third is likely on his way out<\/a>. On Monday, the leader of Scotland\u2019s Labour Party, Anas Sarwar, became the most senior figure to call<\/a> on Starmer to resign. So far, Starmer is defiantly rejecting calls to step down<\/a> and other Cabinet ministers are rallying around the prime minister<\/a>, but some highly placed sources reportedly believe it\u2019s a coin toss<\/a> whether he remains in power.<\/p>\n

Ironically, it appears that by pushing for the release of the files, over Trump\u2019s objection, congressional Democrats in the US may inadvertently bring down the center-left leader of another country entirely.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But why exactly is this happening?\u00a0<\/p>\n

Who is Mandelson and what did he do wrong?\u00a0<\/h2>\n

Mandelson, 72, has been an active and extremely public figure in Labour Party politics since the 1980s. He\u2019s had a number of Cabinet positions and along with former Prime Ministers Tony Blair and Gordon Brown \u2014 he served in both their governments \u2014 he was considered one of the main architects of \u201cNew Labour,\u201d the centrist, neoliberal turn the party took in the 1990s.\u00a0<\/p>\n

His nickname in the days when he was Blair\u2019s spin doctor was the \u201cPrince of Darkness,\u201d and he\u2019s never exactly had a squeaky clean reputation: This is actually the third time he\u2019s had to resign in scandal, the first<\/a> two<\/a> over financial improprieties, and he previously faced media scrutiny over his relationship with the Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska<\/a>. \u201cHe\u2019s always been associated with slightly dodgy links with people with loads of money,\u201d said Anand Menon, a political commentator and professor at King\u2019s College London.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Thanks to these scandals and his centrist politics, he\u2019s never been particularly popular with the Labour Party\u2019s rank-and-file. Nonetheless, when Starmer appointed him as ambassador<\/a> to the US in 2024, the thinking was that he was the kind of tough, seasoned, political heavyweight who could command respect in Donald Trump\u2019s Washington.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Starmer says he had been aware<\/a> that Mandelson had a relationship with Epstein \u2014 the Financial Times had reported on it extensively in 2023<\/a>, so it would be strange if he hadn\u2019t \u2014 but that Mandelson had misled him about the extent of it and that \u201cNone of us knew the depths and the darkness of that relationship.\u201d<\/p>\n

After the release of the Epstein files, both those published last fall and the most recent batch, we all know a lot more<\/a> about Mandelson\u2019s relationship with the man he described as his \u201cbest pal\u201d in Epstein\u2019s 2003 \u201cbirthday book<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n

The files include lewd jokes exchanged between the two men referencing sex and strippers just after Epstein\u2019s initial prison sentence for soliciting prostitution from a minor in 2008. Mandelson expressed support for Epstein after that conviction and offered to speak to his political contacts about the case. (Mandelson, who is gay, is not accused of taking part in the abuse of underage girls, unlike other men in Epstein\u2019s orbit, though the emails do contain some references to what Epstein calls Mandelson\u2019s \u201cromantic complexities.\u201d)\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Mandelson also appears to have sent Epstein internal government emails and sensitive insider financial information at the time he was Gordon Brown\u2019s business secretary, an allegation for which he is currently under police investigation<\/a>. Epstein also sent Mandelson $75,000<\/a> in several payments dating back to 2003.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Mandelson was fired as ambassador last September<\/a> over his Epstein ties. Last week he resigned from the Labour Party<\/a> and from his seat in the House of Lords<\/a>. He has expressed regret for his relationship with Epstein but denied the financial payments.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Why is this so bad for Starmer?\u00a0<\/h2>\n

It\u2019s worth noting that Starmer was already one of the least popular leaders in the Western world, months before the latest Epstein revelations, with a net approval rating more than 40 points underwater<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Labour won the 2024 British election in a relative landslide in terms of Parliament seats<\/a>, though it won only 33 percent of the popular vote. The victory was seen less as a reflection of Starmer\u2019s personal appeal, and more as the result of exhaustion with 14 years of Conservative rule, a period that included Brexit and its tumultuous aftermath as well as the scandal-plagued Boris Johnson government<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Starmer\u2019s government so far has been characterized by several embarrassing policy u-turns<\/a>, questionable appointments<\/a> even before Mandelson, and a hard shift to the right<\/a> on issues like immigration that have angered his base without doing much to stem the rise of the far-right Reform Party, which now leads national polls.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Menon says the Mandelson affair cuts to the core of the Starmer government\u2019s identity in ways that compound its existing problems with voters.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cThe selling point of Labour when it was in opposition wasn\u2019t that it was going to fix everything,\u201d he said. \u201cIt was, \u2018We\u2019re going to bring some honesty and stability that was so palpably lacking under the Conservatives.\u2019\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

It\u2019s harder to make that case when you kept around a guy who was forwarding government emails to an alleged sex trafficker.\u00a0<\/p>\n

What could happen next?<\/h2>\n

Starmer\u2019s best hope for survival right now might be the arcane procedure by which<\/a> the Labour Party conducts leadership challenges. Prospective challenges are required to get support from 80 members of Parliament, preferably before the news leaks and public backlash and backstabbing from rivals begins. In practice, the politicians who launch leadership challenges rarely actually get the job, so the best tactic is to find a \u201cstalking horse\u201d willing to take the fall.\u00a0<\/p>\n

If it all did shake out, who might replace Starmer? Right now Labour\u2019s bench is seen as a little thin. The names most often mentioned include Angela Rayner, who is associated with the party\u2019s left and resigned as deputy prime minister last year after underpaying taxes<\/a>, and Wes Streeting, the telegenic current health secretary who has faced scrutiny over his own links to Mandelson<\/a>.<\/p>\n

In all likelihood, the current Labour government, with Starmer or someone else at the top, will continue until 2029 when elections have to be called. Given the state of the polls, no Labour prime minister would call an early election right now.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The party\u2019s next challenge will come on February 26 in a special election (\u201cby-election\u201d in British politics) for a seat in Northern England<\/a> that has been held by Labour for 90 years, but where the far-right Reform Party and left-wing Greens are putting up strong challenges. A loss there would only compound the panic and calls for new leadership.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Menon notes that the scandal comes at a time when both of Britain\u2019s long-dominant political parties are historically weak<\/a>. As such, the most likely political beneficiary, at least in the short term, is likely to be Reform and its leader, the populist Trump-allied Nigel Farage.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Epstein crisis is a bit like a right-wing conspiracy theory made flesh,\u201d Menon said. \u201cIf you were Nigel Farage and you wanted to write the script for the best scandal to underline the point you\u2019re making about the corrupt elite, this would be it.\u201d<\/p>\n

Of course, it\u2019s a long time until 2029 and Reform could also implode, though Farage has often shown a Trumpian ability to withstand scandal. The best hope for Labour, says Menon, is a \u201clong period of calm without scandal, a period where growth seems to be picking up.\u201d<\/p>\n

Why isn\u2019t this happening in the US?<\/h2>\n

Considering both Labour\u2019s travails and the final downfall of Prince Andrew<\/a>, the Epstein affair almost seems like a US political scandal with primarily British consequences.\u00a0<\/p>\n

As a frustrated tweet from Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) put it last week, \u201cBritain has dethroned a prince, forced Mandelson to resign, & lost confidence in Starmer because Rep. Thomas Massie & I forced the release of the Epstein files. What is America doing to hold the Epstein class accountable?\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

After all, unlike Starmer, Trump himself is in the files, contributing sexual innuendos<\/a> of his own. Lutnick turns out to have been in contact with Epstein years after he had previously claimed. Navy Secretary John Phelan apparently flew on his private jet<\/a> in 2006.<\/p>\n

So what\u2019s the difference? The substance does matter: For all the embarrassing material on the US side, Mandelson\u2019s communications are more direct than most, take place after Epstein\u2019s prostitution charges (unlike Trump\u2019s birthday note<\/a>, and Phelan\u2019s jet ride), and tie into a potential legal investigation. Another factor is that Britain\u2019s political system makes it easier for a ruling political party to sack its own leader. There are also differences in narrative: Starmer was elected to clean up the government, but found to show poor judgement. Trump was elected despite what the public already knew about his checkered personal<\/a>, legal<\/a>, and business<\/a> history, including previous allegations of sexual assault<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Or it may be that Britain\u2019s political and media culture is just different. I asked Sir Anthony Seldon, a prominent political historian known for his biographies of every prime minister since John Major, about the difference between the two cases.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cMatters of financial and sexual impropriety loom very large in the public mind in the UK, as does passing on information to foreign powers, and these factors lie behind all British scandals,\u201d he replied. \u201cWhether that makes Britain a better country than the US or not is for others to charge.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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